Get ready for a fight that could shake the MMA world to its core: Paddy Pimblett vs. Justin Gaethje at UFC 324 is more than just a title bout—it’s a battle of generations, styles, and legacies. But here’s where it gets controversial: Can the rising star from Liverpool dethrone a seasoned veteran in one of the most unpredictable divisions in UFC history? Let’s dive in.
On Saturday in Las Vegas, Paddy Pimblett steps into the Octagon with a chance to etch his name into the annals of combat sports. At just 31, he’s on the cusp of becoming Liverpool’s first-ever UFC champion and only the fourth Brit to claim an interim or undisputed title. It’s a moment he’s manifested, as some would say, but standing in his way is Justin Gaethje, a 37-year-old lightweight powerhouse who’s been a top contender for nearly a decade and a former interim champ himself. And this is the part most people miss: Gaethje’s experience and knockout power could derail Pimblett’s fairy-tale rise faster than you can say ‘ground and pound.’
To add fuel to the fire, we’ve gathered predictions from some of the biggest names in MMA. Rose Namajunas, a two-time strawweight champion, calls it a 50/50 fight, emphasizing the importance of both fighters leaving the Octagon healthy and proud. But others aren’t so neutral. Ilia Topuria, the current UFC lightweight champion, boldly claims Pimblett will win easily, pointing out Gaethje’s lack of grappling skills. Sean O’Malley, never one to shy away from an opinion, believes it’s Paddy’s time, though he admits Gaethje’s underdog status (3-1 odds) might be undervalued. Michael Bisping, the first British UFC champion, predicts a Pimblett submission victory, highlighting his creativity and adaptability.
Not everyone is sold on the Pimblett hype train, though. Waldo Cortes-Acosta remains neutral, praising both fighters’ skills, while Alexander Volkanovski acknowledges Pimblett’s growth but stops short of a definitive prediction. Modestas Bukauskas and Arnold Allen are firmly in Pimblett’s corner, citing his hunger, confidence, and ability to level up with every fight. Luke Riley even predicts a ground-and-pound finish in rounds three or four.
But here’s the real question: Is Pimblett’s rise a product of calculated progression, or is he biting off more than he can chew against a fighter like Gaethje? And what does this fight say about the state of the lightweight division? Let us know your thoughts in the comments—this is one debate you won’t want to miss. Tune in from 03:00 GMT on Sunday, 25 January, on the BBC Sport website and app to see history unfold.